A new analysis published by Forbes suggests that the nationwide uprising in Iran may finally lead to the end of the Ayatollah’s regime. The report highlights that while the government resorts to its “old playbook” of repression and sowing division, the protesters—led by organized “Resistance Units”—are better prepared than ever to confront a ruling system that is now economically destitute and politically isolated.
“Best Chance to Advance Real Change”
According to the article by Natasha Lindstaedt, the protests that began on December 28, 2025, have spread to more than 185 cities and all 31 provinces. These demonstrations, described as the Iranians’ “best chance to advance real change,” feature tens of thousands of protesters chanting slogans such as “Death to the dictator” and “Death to Khamenei”.
While the opposition claims more than 3,000 people have been killed, “Resistance Units” have formed inside the country and are “better prepared to confront the regime,” fighting back even amidst internet blackouts lasting more than 132hours.
⚠️ Update: Metrics show #Iran remains offline as the country wakes to another day of digital darkness.
With the internet blackout now past its 132nd hour, early reports indicate thousands of casualties. The true extent of the killings is obscured by the absence of connectivity. pic.twitter.com/KVNqOTH848
— NetBlocks (@netblocks) January 14, 2026
Regime Tactics: Sowing Division with “Monarchy” Chants
The report exposes a specific tactic used by the regime to fracture the opposition. Sensing the challenges it faces, the regime has “tried to sow doubt and confusion” about the protesters’ aims.
The article states: “Agents have been sent out to chant for a return to the monarchy to create divisions in the protest movement, which could discourage minority groups who were repressed by the Shah from demonstrating”. Additionally, State TV is broadcasting chilling images of dead bodies as a warning to those who dare oppose the regime.
Economy in “Free Fall” and a “Failed State”
Forbes describes Iran’s economy as being in “free fall” due to high corruption, global isolation, and poor management. With the rial declining by roughly 84% over the past year and food inflation hitting 72%, the country is dealing with energy crises and water shortages, “looking more and more like a failed state”.
Sixteenth Day of Uprising: PMOI Reports Death Toll Surpasses 3,000
Khamenei in Hiding
The analysis notes that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s “aura of invincibility has also been shattered”. The 86-year-old reportedly lives in hiding, and his traditional base of support, the “Bazaar” or merchant class, has turned on him. The article mentions reports that Khamenei “may flee to Moscow” if the protests continue.
IRGC Weakened
Furthermore, the regime’s security apparatus is compromised. The IRGC, which controls vast swaths of the economy, has seen many commanders “killed or marginalized,” and its regional proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah have been “seriously debilitated”.
The report concludes that the “writing may finally be on the wall for Khamenei,” as the regime is at its weakest point while its citizens are “much more fed up and better organized”.
