With the start of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Governing Council meeting and the Vienna, nuclear talks resumed, the Iranian government’s nuclear stalemate appears to be serious.
The solutions to the regime’s nuclear case have one thing in common. They are all forming one unique field against the regime. Though it initially appeared that Joe Biden’s government would change the US policy toward the regime from a harsh one to a more flexible and appeasing policy, until now have not lifted any sanctions but have added some of the regime’s individuals and companies to the sanctions list, and they are forcing other government like China to reduce their oil imports from Iran.
Now US officials are warning the regime that all solutions are on the desk if the regime will not accept to stop its nuclear project and other cases like missile, terror support, and human rights issues.
Gen. Lloyd Austin, US Secretary of Defense, said that the United States remains committed to preventing the Iranian government from acquiring nuclear weapons and a diplomatic solution to the Iranian nuclear issue, but if the Iranian government refuses to engage seriously, the United States will consider all possible security options.
Before Austin, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken had made a rare comment in the Biden administration that all options were on the desk, which could point to a military strike.
US Special Envoy for Iran Robert Malley also announced on Friday, November 19, that the time for reviving the JCPOA is coming to an end and that the Iranian government was approaching an irreversible point for reviving the JPCOA after increasing its enriched uranium reserves.
Malley also announced on this day a constructive conversation between him and representatives of Russia and China on the Vienna nuclear talks, which is a bad sign for the regime that is trying to form an ally with these countries to confront the US and the EU.
Le Monde on November 19 quoted French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian as saying that France warns the Iranian government against taking a false position in the nuclear talks.
Le Drian said that if the Iranian government takes a false position in the seventh round of the Vienna talks, which is scheduled to begin on November 29, the JCPOA should be considered vain.
France has previously warned the Iranian government that it could vote against the Iranian government at a forthcoming meeting of the IAEA’s Board of Governors.
Rafael Grossi, the Director-General of the IAEA, also raised concerns about the Iranian government’s nuclear program and expressed his concern at the UN General Assembly. At the meeting, he stated that the Agency’s fact-finding, monitoring, and oversight activities had been adversely affected by the Iranian government’s decision to suspend its nuclear program obligations under the JCPOA.
Grossi added that unresolved issues related to the presence of numerous man-made uranium particles in three locations in Iran have not been reported to the IAEA and that there are concerns about another location.
Natacha Tolstoi, Head of Political Section, Delegation of the European Union to the United Nations, on November 17, announced that the European Union is deeply concerned about the development of the Iranian government’s nuclear program and the continuing violation of the JCPOA and the consequences of the irreversible proliferation of nuclear weapons.
Tolstoi added that the European Union supports the International Atomic Energy Agency’s verification and monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program under UN Security Council Resolution 2231.
At the same time, the concerns of Middle East countries about the destructive actions of the Iranian government have also fueled the nuclear stalemate.
The importance of this issue is such that the political leaders of the three European countries and Robert Malley the US special envoy to Iran met with members of the Gulf Cooperation Council, Egypt, and Jordan at a meeting in Riyadh on Thursday, November 18.
According to the German Foreign Ministry’s website, the meeting was dedicated to the destabilizing actions of the Iranian government in the region, something that these countries and their Western allies are insisting on, which should also be added to the cases of the Vienna talks.
Israel has repeatedly stated that in the event of a nuclear standoff with the Iranian government, it will launch a military strike on the Iranian government’s nuclear sites.
Isreal’s foreign minister Yair Lapid also stated on November 15 that the Iranian government does not intend to return to the JCPOA or reach a new agreement.
Despite all these facts, which are against this regime, this regime also insists on the following claims which is showing its weakness:
- The lifting of all sanctions
- Payment of damages by the United States for leaving the JCPOA
- The US commitment that it will not leave the JCPOA again
- Verification of the lifting of US sanctions
- Its missile and regional activities will be not included in any new negotiations
While analyzing these issues claimed by the Iranian regime, it becomes clear that the Iranian regime will not win this table; in other words, the nuclear stalemate is a serious matter.