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Oil Prices Rise Following Decertification of Iran Nuclear Deal

Iran Focus

London, 16 Oct – Donald Trump’s decertification of the Iranian Regime as compliant in the 2015 nuclear deal and the potential for new sanctions against the Middle Eastern country caused oil prices to rise dramatically on Monday.

The international benchmark for oil prices was valued at $57.82 at 01.56 GMT on Monday, October 16, up 65 cents, or 1.1 percent, from the previous close.

Many traders are concerned because they do not know which sanctions will be levied against Iran in the coming weeks by the US Congress and if sanctions are imposed, there may be an oil shortage which would lead to a much sharper price increase.

Is Trump’s Decertification of Iran More Blustering or a Real Attempt at Change in Iran?

Iran Focus

London, 16 Oct – Following Donald Trump’s decision to decertify the Iran nuclear deal he received much criticism from Western powers who ignored the real threat that the Iranian Regime posed.

Baria Alamuddin, the editor of the Media Services Syndicate and a foreign editor at Al-Hayat, wrote an op-ed for Arab News in which she assessed that the Iranian Regime’s nuclear programme may indeed be the least of our concerns at the moment.

She wrote: “Iran-backed militias such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi in Iraq, the Houthis in Yemen and a plethora of paramilitaries in Syria are now deciding issues of war and peace in these states — on behalf of Tehran.”

Iran: IRGC More Important Than Nuclear Deal

Iran Focus

London, 15 Oct – United States President Donald Trump announced on Friday that a new strategy for dealing with Iran was being initiated. He refused to recertify Iran’s compliance with the nuclear deal which is no surprise because he has criticised it on a number of occasions. At the recent United Nations General Assembly, he said it was an “embarrassment” and described it as “one-sided”.

He has been critical of the former administration’s treatment of the deal, pointing out that many of Iran’s dangerous actions are not addressed. Trump has even said that the nuclear deal, instead of curbing Iran’s nuclear program, actually paves the way.

US Defense Secretary James Mattis Says He Stands by Trump’s Iran Strategy

Iran Focus

London, 14 Oct – On Friday, Defense Secretary James Mattis said he supports President Trump’s newly unveiled strategy regarding Iran, following the president’s announcement of his decision not to certify Tehran’s compliance with the The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known commonly as the Iran nuclear deal, which is an international agreement reached in Vienna in 2015, between Iran and the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council—China, France, Russia, United Kingdom, United States—plus Germany, (the P5+1).

British Intelligence Blames Iran for June 23rd Cyber-Attack on MPs’ Emails

Iran Focus

London, 14 Oct – A cyber-attack on the email accounts of dozens of MPs occurred in June, and according to an unpublished assessment by British intelligence, Iran is to blame.

Disclosure of the report comes at an awkward juncture, as Donald Trump made it clear on Friday that he wants to abandon the Iran nuclear deal. However, European leaders, including Theresa May, want to retain it.

Initial suspicion for the attack fell on Russia, but according to the intelligence assessment, the evidence amassed is pointing to Iran.

Iran Continues Its Hostage-Taking to Gain Geopolitical and Financial Concessions

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Iran Focus

London, 13 Oct – Nazanin Ratcliffe is a British citizen who worked as a project manager for the Thomson Reuters Foundation’s charitable section. As she attempted to board a plane to return home after a visit with her family in Iran, she and her infant daughter had their passports confiscated by Iranian authorities.

Ratcliffe is now in prison on charges such of orchestrating a “soft overthrow” of the Iranian government. Her trial was conducted without due and fair process.

The number of Westerners imprisoned in Iran has increased since the nuclear deal. The US State Department has acknowledged the increasing threat against Americans, and issued a travel warning in March, “Iran has continued to harass, arrest, and detain US citizens, in particular dual nationals.”

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Prepares for Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) Designation

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Iran Focus

London, 13 Oct – Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are watching from the sidelines as U.S. President Trump prepares to make his announcement regarding U.S. policy toward Tehran and the fate of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). This is because, reportedly, Trump is also expected to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

While individuals and entities associated with the IRGC are already on the U.S. list of foreign terrorist organizations (FTO), the IRGC itself is not.

Mohammad Ali Jafari, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, said on October 8th, “If the news is correct about the stupidity of the American government in considering the Revolutionary Guards a terrorist group, then the Revolutionary Guards will consider the American Army to be like Islamic State all around the world.”

Trump Refuses to ‘Recertify’ the Iran Deal

Jubin Katiraie

On Friday October 13, After President Trump unveiled a new strategy against Iran that included decertifying the nuclear agreement negotiated under the Obama administration. The Pentagon said it is reviewing its “entire breadth” of methods to counter Iran.

The review includes security cooperation activities, force posture and plans, Pentagon spokesman Maj. Adrian Rankine-Galloway said in a statement.

Iran and Al-Qaeda’s Links

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Iran Focus

London, 13 Oct – A relationship between al-Qaeda and Iran is an unlikely one considering the very volatile Sunni – Shia problems and differences. However, when aims coincide, these differences can be put to one side. The Iranian regime has been working with al-Qaeda ever since the beginning of the nineties in Sudan.

Later, in Afghanistan, the two worked together and cooperation continued after the 9/11 attacks in New York. It was not until years later, in 2011, that Iran and al-Qaeda were formally accused of having links and co-conspiring in the 9/11 attacks.

Will Trump Kill the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Iran Focus

London, 12 Oct – Regarding the law requiring the president to determine every 90 days if Iran is abiding by the accord, Mr. Trump said, “If it was up to me, I would have had those noncompliant 180 days ago.” Although Trump has certified Iran’s compliance twice, he has done so reluctantly.

The Iran nuclear deal, formally known as The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), did not pass the Senate with the two-thirds majority the Constitution requires of treaties, giving Trump the ability to abandon the deal as soon as he took office. In fact, as president, it was his duty, since he declared, as a candidate, his belief that, “The Iran deal poses a direct national-security threat.”