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Iran continues its belligerence

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military parade in Ahvaz

Iran Focus

London, 25 Sep – On Saturday 22nd September, a military parade in Ahvaz in the south-western part of Iran was the target of an attack. There were dozens of people killed and scores more injured. A state news agency said that several civilians, including children, were killed, as well as 12 members of the elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

A local Arab separatist group claimed responsibility for the attack but Iranian officials have said that the United States, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were behind the attack.

Iran threatened revenge on those it believes are responsible, escalating tensions between Iran and the Persian Gulf States and the U.S.

Iran threatened enemies ahead of United Nations General Assembly

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Rouhani will Speak about terror attack at UN General Assembly

Iran Focus

London, 25 Sep – On 22nd September there was a deadly attack at a military parade in the south-western part of Iran. Dozens of people were killed and Iran has accused the United States, Saudi Arabia and Israel of being behind the attack. Tensions are rising between the countries and Iranian officials are making the matter worse by threatening revenge.

This tension will no doubt affect Iranian President Hassan Rouhani when he attends the United Nations General Assembly in New York. He has already said that he intends to “expose U.S. breaches of international regulations” and there is no doubt that he will have a lot to say about the U.S. exit from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.

Iran desperation, OPEC Boosting Production

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OPEC Production

Iran Focus

London, 25 Sep – In the coming days, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will hold a meeting in Algiers to assess the current state of the oil market and decide their next steps, with Iran being a major concern due to US sanctions that aim to drive Iran’s oil exports to zero.

The obvious solution is for OPEC to allow its members to increase their production levels to make up for the loss in Iranian oil, but Iran’s oil minister has claimed that he will block any attempt at this.

Iran Militias Attack Iraqi Protesters

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Iraqi Protesters

Iran Focus

London, 24 Sep – A young activist in Iraq has told the story of how she was attacked by masked men as part of an intimidation campaign by the Iranian Mullahs.

Hajar Youssif, 24, had taken a taxi to her job as an office administrator and realised that her driver had not taken the usual route. When she questioned this, the driver locked the doors and sped up.

She said: “I started to feel uneasy and knew that something bad was going to happen.”

Iran: Prisoners Forced to Confess Under Duress

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Mohammad Ostadghader and Houshmand Alipour

Iran Focus

London, 24 Sep – On 3rd August, Mohammad Ostadghader and Houshmand Alipour were arrested by Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence. Four days later, the country’s national television broadcast a recording of the men confessing to their participation on an attack on a security base in Saghez.

The men have not been allowed to contact their families bar one brief call on 1st September in which Alipour told his family that he was forced to confess under duress. The prisoners are being held in an unknown location.

Alipour’s brother, Hejar Alipour, has spoken out about the arrest of the two men. He wrote an open letter in which he calls out for access to family visitation and the access to a lawyer. In his letter it appears that the two men may imminently be sentenced to death.

International Pressure on Iran as UN General Assembly Begins

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Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's Foreign Minister at the United Nations

Iran Focus

London, 24 Sep – As the UN General Assembly begins, during a press briefing on Thursday September 20th, US Department of State’s spokesperson Heather Nauert said that the United States holds Iran responsible for last week’s attacks on American establishments in Iraq. She said, “We recognize that Iran continues to be a destabilizing element in the region. They continue to try to attack other governments and individuals through their proxy militias. We will hold them responsible for any loss of American life. I just want to be clear about that.” Previously, the U.S. had warned against any attack by Iran-backed Iraqi militia against US forces in Iraq.

Iranian Oil Exports Down 35% in Run-Up to U.S. Sanctions November Deadline

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Iranian Oil Exports

Iran Focus

London, 22 Sep – In April, a month before US President Trump announced America’s exit from the Iran nuclear deal — more formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) — and the re-imposition of sanctions, Iranian oil exports dropped by 35 per cent. In August, the first round of sanctions against Tehran went into effect. The next round of sanctions are expected to be the toughest in history.

Bloomberg reports that Iran’s oil exports have already dropped substantially, causing “severe economic damage” to Iran.

Trump’s Iran Strategy Is Winning

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Trump’s Iran strategy

Iran Focus

London, 22 Sep – In May, Donald Trump pulled the US out of the 2015 nuclear between Iran and six world powers and sent the foreign-policy establishment into overdrive with opposition.

They warned that Trump’s promise to bring back sanctions – specifically on Iran’s oil exports – would fail because America’s allies and the other signatories to the nuclear deal would continue to do business with Iran. Then, as if they were dealing with Schrödinger’s sanctions, they said that if the sanctions worked, then the US would be dealing with increased oil prices that would bite the American people and possibly even cause a recession.

Japan Stops Iran Oil Imports

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Japan-Iran oil imports

Iran Focus

London, 21 Sep – Oil refiners in Japan have temporarily suspended all loading from Iran ahead of incoming US sanctions, even though they are still trying to obtain a sanctions waiver from Washington, according to Takashi Tsukioka, the President of the Petroleum Association of Japan.

When asked whether refiners had suspended their Iranian oil loadings beyond October, Tsukioka told a press conference on Thursday: “I understand that each company’s position [over Iranian oil loadings] is the same, to have suspended them while monitoring the situation. The companies are also taking a flexible approach to be prepared to respond, depending on how the situation develops.”

As UK Warns Dual Nationals Regarding Travel to Iran, France Delays Envoy Nomination

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Flag-UK-France

Iran Focus

London, 21 Sep – On September 19th, British-Iranian dual nationals were advised against all but essential travel to Iran. Britain has warned them that it has only limited powers to support them if they are detained in the country.

A foreign office spokeswoman said, “The Foreign Secretary (Jeremy Hunt) has taken the decision to advise against all but essential travel by UK-Iranian dual nationals to Iran.” Her email statement continued, “British citizens who also hold Iranian nationality face risks if they travel to Iran, as we have seen all too sadly in a number of cases. The Iranian government does not recognize dual nationality, so if a dual national is detained our ability to provide support is extremely limited.”