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Solution to Jcpoa Crisis: Change in Iran

Solution to JCPOA crisis:  change in Iran

Iran Focus

London, 8 May – As Donald Trump’s final decision on the Iran Nuclear Deal, otherwise known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), is due later today, it seems about time we look at a way out of the crisis.

It seems likely that Trump will pull out of the deal, despite last-minute attempts to convince him otherwise by France, Germany, and the UK. We can guess that Trump will withdraw, given that he has previously promised to, that he has stacked his cabinet with Iran hawks, and as fixes that he wanted to the deal have not materialised.

What Is the Structure of the Ncri?

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What is the structure of the NCRI?

By Jubin Katiraie

Earlier this week, we wrote a piece to give you an overview of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI). Today, we will expand on that with a piece about the political structure of the NCRI.

President-elect of the NCRI

Maryam Rajavi is the President-elect of the NCRI, who serves as the President-in-exile and will take over as President of Iran during the transition period after the mullahs’ Regime has fallen.

Iran: Secondary Sanctions Are Essential

Iran Secondary sanctions are essential

Iran Focus

London, 7 May – United States President Donald Trump has stated a deadline of 12th May for ending the secondary sanction waivers on Iran’s compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal. Regarding these secondary sanctions, there seems to be a lack of understanding about what they are and the implications they have.

Sanctions are a way for the US government to pressure individuals, entities and foreign nations if there is a threat to national security. There are a whole host of reasons for imposing sanctions such as drug-related offences, terrorism, nuclear threats, and so on.

International Deals With Iran in Jeopardy

International deals with Iran in jeopardy

Iran Focus

London, 7 May – International corporations risk losing billions of dollars collectively if US President Donald Trump decides to go ahead and exit the United States from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.

President Trump has given the signatories of the deal a deadline of 12th May for making major changes and improvements to the nuclear deal that he has described as “weak”. In the absence of any strengthening, Trump can decide whether to re-apply the crippling sanctions that were lifted as a result of the deal being signed.

Iran Refuses to Acknowledge Losses in Syria

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Iran refuses to acknowledge losses in Syria

Iran Focus

London, 7 May – Iran has been uncannily silent in the aftermath of the April 29 attacks on two Syrian military bases that contained Iranian and allied Shia militia forces, that are suspected to have been carried out by Israel.

The state-controlled media in Iran played down the incident, which provides an interesting insight into the conflict between Iran and Israel: Iran is fine with engaging the Jewish state in low-intensity conflicts and using its proxy Hezbollah against it, but it does not want an all-out war with Israel. Considering how often Iran calls for the destruction of Israel, this is surprising, until you remember that Iran is not equipped for all-out war, and would certainly lose.

Iran Tries to Take Control in West Africa

Iran tries to take control in West Africa

Iran Focus

London, 7 May – The new Iranian embassy in Algeria was gravely concerning to those in the Arab world, but then things got worse, with the arrival of Iranian diplomat Amir Mousavi.

Mousavi, who first appeared to be interested in increasing cultural ties with Algeria, soon began interfering in the dispute between Algeria and Morocco over the Western Sahara conflict.

Iran’s interference in the dispute, supporting the Polisario Front’s bid for control of the Western Sahara, an area where Morocco controls about 90% of the territory, has already caused Morocco to cut diplomatic relations with Iran. In this, Morocco gained the support of the Arab League.

The Iranian People Furious Over the Ban of Telegram

The Iranian People furious over the Ban of Telegram

Iran Focus

London, 5 May – In Iran on Monday, following the ruling by the Tehran-based Culture and Media Court, access to the hugely popular Telegram messaging app gradually began to be cut off by Web service providers. A judicial order was issued to block Telegram, affecting tens of millions of Iranian users.

The chief of Iran’s judiciary is appointed by the supreme leader. The judiciary pushed the ban of the app in the wake of mass demonstrations late last year, in an attempt to disrupt the ongoing uprising, and disrupt peoples’ communication.

A 15-Year-Old Girl Arrested in Iran for Writing Poetry as Part of Crackdown Against Arab Protesters

iran-Maedeh-Shabaninejad

Iran Focus

London, 4 May – The Iranian security forces have arrested a 15-year-old girl for writing poetry that the security forces claims incites violence.

Ma’edeh Shabaninejad was arrested back in March at the aunt’s house in Ahvaz, where she hid after security guards raided her home and confiscated her poems.

Her father, Sahid, said that Ma’edeh has been allowed to call her mother from jail on a weekly basis and is accused of writing poetry about Iran’s Arab minority that incites violence.

Iran Deal Decision Affecting Oil Prices

Iran deal decision affecting oil prices

Iran Focus

London, 4 May – Oil prices evened out on Friday, following recent gains, but global supplies remain limited as the market prepares for Donald Trump’s decision on the fate of the 2015 nuclear deal.

On Monday, April 30, Brent crude oil hit a 3-1/2 year closing high of $75.17, but by Friday, this has dropped by 30 cents to $73.32 a barrel. US light crude had also dropped 20 cents to $68.23.

ANZ analysts Daniel Hynes and Soni Kumari wrote: “Rising geopolitical risks have been a big factor behind oil’s strong rise this year. The extent of the rally would have been significantly weaker if not for recent tightness in the market. We expect the market to tighten even further in H2 2018.”

Leaving the Iran Nuclear Deal: Cause or Consequence of Global Security Threats?

Iran-Talks-Iran-Nuclear-Deal

By Edward Carney

It was widely reported on Thursday that Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif had once again reiterated the Islamic Republic’s refusal to enter into new negotiations over the 2015 nuclear program, which US President Donald Trump has long promised to either improve or cancel. Zarif’s latest remarks came less than two weeks before the deadline for the renewal of American sanctions waivers put into place by the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Trump has said that if Congress and the European signatories to the deal do not “fix the terrible flaws” in the agreement by May 12, he will allow those waivers to lapse.